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Sep 4, 2012
09/12
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the amount of tweets that go on in the united states will max out two years from now and begin declining. >> what will replace them? >> telepathy, direct vulcan mind mail. you and me together -- >> i walked into that. >> nobody has ever heard of is what will replace it. something new will come along. whenever you have a giant technological problem like too many e-mails, we replace it. >> tyler, back to you. >> i have a concept, speaking to people face to face, that might replace it. i'm a dinosaur. >>> let's talk about hailing a taxi in new york city. you come here for a trip in business or holiday, it's just gotten a lot more expensive. starting today, cab fairs up 17% or 50 cents for each fifth of a mile. it's the first time fares have gone up since way back in 2005. i think the guys deserve a raise. a one-way ride from jfk international airport, they say, where america greets the world on this receipt, it will now run you about $61. how do we know that? the receipt from one of our "power lunch" producers who was surprised to find out about the rate hike this very morning on her way ba
the amount of tweets that go on in the united states will max out two years from now and begin declining. >> what will replace them? >> telepathy, direct vulcan mind mail. you and me together -- >> i walked into that. >> nobody has ever heard of is what will replace it. something new will come along. whenever you have a giant technological problem like too many e-mails, we replace it. >> tyler, back to you. >> i have a concept, speaking to people face to...
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Sep 5, 2012
09/12
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the united states showing the big slope up. government programs he says for example extended unemployment insurance could have kept the rate high. nonsense says jeff lacker from the richmond fed, jim bull from st. louis and others. there he say he didn't look deep enough into the data. we have a high, long-term unemployment problem. that is a sign of structural. then they say this very interesting question, a little bit into the economics here. where the deflation? if there is all of this extra slack in the economy, prices should be falling. in fact, you have this large bump up in unemployment and then you look at the year over year end of inflation and there is no deflation there. the big question, guys, where does the number come back to? what is the right number? should the fed be aiming for a 5%, 6%, or 7% unemployment rate which means there's a lot less slack in the economy right now. that's the debate, scott. that's what the fed is puzzling over. how much it can do. how much progress it can have on unemployment. bernanke
the united states showing the big slope up. government programs he says for example extended unemployment insurance could have kept the rate high. nonsense says jeff lacker from the richmond fed, jim bull from st. louis and others. there he say he didn't look deep enough into the data. we have a high, long-term unemployment problem. that is a sign of structural. then they say this very interesting question, a little bit into the economics here. where the deflation? if there is all of this extra...
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Sep 7, 2012
09/12
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unlike europe and the united states, they can do stimulus on the fiscal side and the monetary side. that means they could miss out on the inflationary move. all year it's been about the u.s. you might see money coming out into other riskier areas of the globe. >> do we have to look at china or talking about the fed and ecb next week. >> absolutely we have to keep looking at china, i think a lot of their most as ifty issues, one of these days the lights will go on. i don't think it will be a good thing. i'm looking at three things. i think the conservative newspapers are going bonkers today, i urge everybody to go online and read it. secondly i think when it comes to labor force participation rate @ will push it down for all of the wrong republicans. i think we're going to potentially test 2000 in gold. >> all right, very good, thank you all. >> a lot of people talking about that 23 2,000 level for a long time. what about stocks. will they make any big moves, what do you think, bob? >> today's response was not very encouraging. we had a move today related to china. that was a surpris
unlike europe and the united states, they can do stimulus on the fiscal side and the monetary side. that means they could miss out on the inflationary move. all year it's been about the u.s. you might see money coming out into other riskier areas of the globe. >> do we have to look at china or talking about the fed and ecb next week. >> absolutely we have to keep looking at china, i think a lot of their most as ifty issues, one of these days the lights will go on. i don't think it...
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Sep 21, 2012
09/12
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i've been a superintendent for 30 some years at many different park service units across the united states. the only time i've ever had a break is when i was on maternity leave. i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. bob... oh, hey alex. just picking up some, brochures, posters copies of my acceptance speech. great! it's always good to have a backup plan, in case i get hit by a meteor. wow, your hair looks great. didn't realize they did photoshop here. hey, good call on those mugs. can't let 'em see what you're drinking. you know, i'm glad we're both running a nice, clean race. no need to get nasty. here's your "honk if you had an affair with taylor" yard sign. looks good. [ male announcer ] fedex office. now save 50% on banners. to provide a better benefits package... oahhh! [ male announcer ] it made a big splash with the employees. [ duck yelling ] [ male announcer ] find out more at... [ duck ] aflac! [ male announcer ] ...forbusiness.com. ♪ ha ha! >>> cnbc was able t
i've been a superintendent for 30 some years at many different park service units across the united states. the only time i've ever had a break is when i was on maternity leave. i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. bob... oh, hey alex. just picking up some, brochures, posters copies of my acceptance speech. great! it's always good to have a backup plan, in case i get hit by a...
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Sep 9, 2012
09/12
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the clock is ticking in the united states, however, on the fiscal cliff, which you are very concerned about. the xpiration of the bush tax cuts and automatic spending cuts that come if there's no budget agreement. how do you view this playing out? what are the implications for the market? >> i think this is very important. last week maybe the point when investor sentence focuses on this instead of europe. first of all, the size of the fiscal cliff at about 650 billion, 4% of gdp. it would be hitting at a time when the economy is weak and particularly the consumer is weak. i do think this represents a big danger to the economy. the challenge is it's not discounted into the price. we're all talking about it, i've met very few investors who believe it will happen. if we do start to move to an environment where it becomes more likely, it will create volatility and also hit equity prices as well towards the end of the year. >> how do you invest against that kind of back drop? where would you put money to work right now? >> i think there are a couple of things investors can do. one thought
the clock is ticking in the united states, however, on the fiscal cliff, which you are very concerned about. the xpiration of the bush tax cuts and automatic spending cuts that come if there's no budget agreement. how do you view this playing out? what are the implications for the market? >> i think this is very important. last week maybe the point when investor sentence focuses on this instead of europe. first of all, the size of the fiscal cliff at about 650 billion, 4% of gdp. it would...
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Sep 10, 2012
09/12
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for 30 some years at manyperint different park service units across the united states. the only time i've ever had a break is when i was on maternity leave. i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. every time a local business opens its doors, or makes another sale, or hires another employee, it's not just good for business. it's good for the entire community. at bank of america, we know the impact that local businesses have on communities. that's why we've extended over $4 billion in new credit to local businesses across the country so far this year. because the more we help them, the more we can help make communities stronger. >>> welcome back. more breaking news. >> another executive is leaving zynga. chief market and operating officer jeff carp is leaving the company after one year. following a slew of departures including chief operating officer and chief creative officer. zynga saying they're continuing their transition to mobile way from reliance on
for 30 some years at manyperint different park service units across the united states. the only time i've ever had a break is when i was on maternity leave. i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. every time a local business opens its doors, or makes another sale, or hires another employee, it's not just good for business. it's good for the entire community. at bank of america,...
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Sep 7, 2012
09/12
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we have a fiscal and monetary problem here in the united states. what will solve the problem right now? so far the fed doesn't seem to be able to create so many jobs right now. >> what bernanke said last week and i agree with him and the evidence points in this direction is the main reason we have an 9.1% unemployment is because of weak demand. if you're thinking about monetary or fiscal policy, on the fiscal side, it comes from tax cutting, spending increases, or both, and we have to worry about that. on the monetary side, what monetary authorities can do is reduce interest rates and try to reduce rates across a broad set of assets through qe policies. the fiscal and monetary side are trying to stimulate demand, and demand is missing to great stronger momentum. >> they're pushing on a string, rant they? >> the fed has the capability to act right now, and i think always, you know, again chairman ber knack key admitted that this policy tool is not a particularly strong tool. >> ben bernanke said that he creating two million jobs. they did analysis a
we have a fiscal and monetary problem here in the united states. what will solve the problem right now? so far the fed doesn't seem to be able to create so many jobs right now. >> what bernanke said last week and i agree with him and the evidence points in this direction is the main reason we have an 9.1% unemployment is because of weak demand. if you're thinking about monetary or fiscal policy, on the fiscal side, it comes from tax cutting, spending increases, or both, and we have to...
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Sep 7, 2012
09/12
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where does that leave political classes, not only in the eurozone but also in the united states. the global issue has been a subject john has been involved, the ceo of eli lilly. nice to see you. let's see this issue of leadership. clerly the onus with central banks doing as much as they can in terms of turning around the global economy. the emphasis is very much on a political class in europe that is fighting its own corners, and in a clearly divided political class in the united states. can't we achieve this sort of leadership the world needs economically? >> we're in a tough situations that's been years in the making and i think it will be years to work our way out of it. there's an old saying as elected democracies we get the leaders we deserve. different views on our leaders reflect a certain divisiveness on leaders. some of the comment i made here yesterday of the position i would take, and i think we should be looking toward from the perspective of anyone who runs a company is leadership that takes a long-term view when temptations are otherwise to deal only with the short
where does that leave political classes, not only in the eurozone but also in the united states. the global issue has been a subject john has been involved, the ceo of eli lilly. nice to see you. let's see this issue of leadership. clerly the onus with central banks doing as much as they can in terms of turning around the global economy. the emphasis is very much on a political class in europe that is fighting its own corners, and in a clearly divided political class in the united states. can't...
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Sep 7, 2012
09/12
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i've been a superintendent for 30 some years at many different park service units across the united states. the only time i've ever had a break is when i was on maternity leave. i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. boring. boring. [ jack ] after lauren broke up with me, i went to the citi private pass page and decided to be...not boring. that's how i met marilyn... giada... really good. yes! [ jack ] ...and alicia. ♪ this girl is on fire [ male announcer ] use any citi card to get the benefits of private pass. more concerts, more events, more experiences. [ jack ] hey, who's boring now? [ male announcer ] get more access with the citi card. [ crowd cheering, mouse clicks ] oh, hey alex. just picking up some, brochures, posters copies of my acceptance speech. great! it's always good to have a backup plan, in case i get hit by a meteor. wow, your hair looks great. didn't realize they did photoshop here. hey, good call on those mugs. can't let 'em see what you're drinking.
i've been a superintendent for 30 some years at many different park service units across the united states. the only time i've ever had a break is when i was on maternity leave. i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. boring. boring. [ jack ] after lauren broke up with me, i went to the citi private pass page and decided to be...not boring. that's how i met marilyn... giada......
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Sep 20, 2012
09/12
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then there is the united states. here we have the fiscal cliff. the fiscal cliff is something we have moderate control over because it's a question of political will. it can be resolved. anything that can be resolved will be dealt with in some fashion. and i think that's why the stock market has been climbing despite the obvious chasm ahead of us. sure, there are other reasons that could cause the selloff stocks. stocks have had a big run. valuations getting stretched if we have little growth ahead of us. twice in the last month federal express, man, they disappointed. twice, twice. it's been a real tale of woe. [ crying ] and what has happened? frankly, nothing. stock's pretty much unchanged. tonight we got a big disappointment from norfolk southern, the railroad. while the stock is being hit after hours, you know what? i bet you buyers come in and snap it up tomorrow at what will be considered real bargain prices a few weeks from now. that's because in this tape, in this market, disappointing earnings don't necessarily produce dramatic and lasti
then there is the united states. here we have the fiscal cliff. the fiscal cliff is something we have moderate control over because it's a question of political will. it can be resolved. anything that can be resolved will be dealt with in some fashion. and i think that's why the stock market has been climbing despite the obvious chasm ahead of us. sure, there are other reasons that could cause the selloff stocks. stocks have had a big run. valuations getting stretched if we have little growth...
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Sep 6, 2012
09/12
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states on food assistants? that's staggering. we have not produced a single net new job. there is a bridge that has to be gapped, and ceos want to see what plan and the path is. >> the fiscal cliff has a lot of ceos concerned, what about you? >> i think that's the number one concern. it's a 3% hit to incomes in gdp terms, and the economy only grows 2%. if that happens, and we won't know until after the election, it will wipe out job creation until next year. we're hoping and thinking it gets fixed, but we have to see the election and get into december. >> more things to worry about and think about in the meantime. >> pretty sobers. >> 37 minutes until the closing bell. the nasdaq is higher by 61. >> that is a four.5 year high for the s&p 500, is there more room to run? should you take profits? >>> new claims, president obama and john boehner had a massive blow up over the collapse of the debt deal last year. we're talking about a tirade from the president, can they possibly work together to fix our debt situati
states on food assistants? that's staggering. we have not produced a single net new job. there is a bridge that has to be gapped, and ceos want to see what plan and the path is. >> the fiscal cliff has a lot of ceos concerned, what about you? >> i think that's the number one concern. it's a 3% hit to incomes in gdp terms, and the economy only grows 2%. if that happens, and we won't know until after the election, it will wipe out job creation until next year. we're hoping and...
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Sep 14, 2012
09/12
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i think for the united states, while we've got room for multiple expansion in the united states where we're at today, earnings are getting kind of topee. europe makes a better bet. >> the last time you came on several months ago when you were bearish the euro, have you also changed targets to several months ago? >> actually, i haven't, mandy. the euro is going to continue to appreciate. we've obviously gotten a really nice bounce here, up to around 131. we probably have a little more upside on a technical basis. but the whole key to the european recovery is around dr. draghi continuing to print money, and printing money is going to ultimately put downward pressure on the euro, and they need that to get the economy of the periphery to expand. >> if you're buying european stocks, what are you selling? >> brian, i think you know a couple of months ago, two or three months ago, i turned very bearish on treasury. we started selling ten year notes at 1.65. we were probably too early. but i am exceptionally negative about treasury securities, and i think that's probably the best short out th
i think for the united states, while we've got room for multiple expansion in the united states where we're at today, earnings are getting kind of topee. europe makes a better bet. >> the last time you came on several months ago when you were bearish the euro, have you also changed targets to several months ago? >> actually, i haven't, mandy. the euro is going to continue to appreciate. we've obviously gotten a really nice bounce here, up to around 131. we probably have a little...
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Sep 4, 2012
09/12
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>> the united states. the united states was hemorrhaging 700,000 jobs a month or 700,000 jobs a month under george bush. right now, we're creating jobs. we've created 3 million or 4 million jobs in the worst recession with an obstructionist congress working against the president. >> so you think that unions then are better off today than they were three years ago? >> i think america is better off. >> are the unions better off? are the unions better off? >> unions and america are better off. we're not hemorrhaging jobs. we're creating jobs. we have a guy that enforces health and safety laws. he wants to reinstill the buy in america labor. he's pushing for insource, not outsourcing. we have a president right now who is saying, let's bring jobs back to america and increase manufacturing. >> it's interesting because i am hearing a lot of that and yet we're just not seeing it in the numbers. an unemployment rate at 8.3% and most economists you speak to will tell you we should be a lot farther off in this moment
>> the united states. the united states was hemorrhaging 700,000 jobs a month or 700,000 jobs a month under george bush. right now, we're creating jobs. we've created 3 million or 4 million jobs in the worst recession with an obstructionist congress working against the president. >> so you think that unions then are better off today than they were three years ago? >> i think america is better off. >> are the unions better off? are the unions better off? >> unions...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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this is very, very detrimental to the united states long term. >> it ultimately is going to do something, though -- [ bell ]. i kind of disagree. because i think if consumers know -- >> if they understand. can you understand your health plan? >> i can't understand my health plan today. i don't know what it covers and what it doesn't. >> it puts employees at the mercy of the insurance companies and they're really going to be defenseless. >> and you have 206 perfect information. why should everybody have perfect information when their employer can help everybody at once to get to that? >> i'll tell you one thing i'm not going to do, is go through a whole book on every potential plan that i might look at to see -- >> they might do it on your behalf. >> oh, sure. >> koording to a new irs inspector general report 70 federal agencies owe $14 million in taxes. so why does the government hate taxes, john? >> it's not just these federal agencies that owe taxes. we learned earlier in the year that over a billion dollars is owed by federal employees. there's a scofflaw problem in our very governmen
this is very, very detrimental to the united states long term. >> it ultimately is going to do something, though -- [ bell ]. i kind of disagree. because i think if consumers know -- >> if they understand. can you understand your health plan? >> i can't understand my health plan today. i don't know what it covers and what it doesn't. >> it puts employees at the mercy of the insurance companies and they're really going to be defenseless. >> and you have 206 perfect...
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Sep 4, 2012
09/12
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that is what the united states has is a fiat currency. i think people are waking up to that. i don't think it has anything to do with fear and everything to do with what is coming down the pipe. it is painful on the down days and there have been a number of them, i think gold is what's going to win. one day we will wake up and the price of gold will be a lot higher than it is now. i think it just all makes sense to me. i think gold continues to go higher. >> are they right? >> absolutely. first of all, you don't want to mess with him. he is iron man but he is spot on. hopefully folks have been following the trade on twitter. we have been talking about this gold. 1724 is a short term objective. one thing that stood out is the moody's downgrade. i know we essentially discredit moody's. but there is a lot of pressure on draghi to move that metal. >> do we think that draghi will do something and we will get more printing of money or is it the fear trade or both? >> i think it's both. to add on to that, you china weakening. there are additional measures coming on to the market. la
that is what the united states has is a fiat currency. i think people are waking up to that. i don't think it has anything to do with fear and everything to do with what is coming down the pipe. it is painful on the down days and there have been a number of them, i think gold is what's going to win. one day we will wake up and the price of gold will be a lot higher than it is now. i think it just all makes sense to me. i think gold continues to go higher. >> are they right? >>...
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Sep 4, 2012
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basically, the inefficient use of some of the stimulus money in the united states really misallocated resources. we could have done a better job in terms of how we spent the money. again, even the president made fun of the fact that a lot of projects simply weren't shovel-ready. i think how we spend the money is very, very important overall. also, finally, i would just comment there is a budget constraint with respect to fiscal spen pentagon. so, as we saw in om of the european economies, spending more money when it's perceived that over the long run it's going to be more and more difficult for you to meet that budget constraint in term of paying that money back doesn't do you a lot of good in terms of perhaps a weaker dollar, a higher inflation expectations, higher real interest rate over time. so i think, again, i think the professor has it right. there are limits to fiscal policy, especially given the large debt to gdp rashs that we have in the united states. >> john, thank you for getting up for us this morning. steve horowitz will stay with us and we'll talk about a alternatives.
basically, the inefficient use of some of the stimulus money in the united states really misallocated resources. we could have done a better job in terms of how we spent the money. again, even the president made fun of the fact that a lot of projects simply weren't shovel-ready. i think how we spend the money is very, very important overall. also, finally, i would just comment there is a budget constraint with respect to fiscal spen pentagon. so, as we saw in om of the european economies,...
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Sep 10, 2012
09/12
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it tells you a lot about the structural dynamic of employment here in the united states. and you're seeing still an increase in the number of people hiring for temporary work rather than full-time employment and a lot of the full-time jobs are in the lower paying wage range which really impacts consumer for down the road for stronger economic recoveries. >> another concern is the falling share of americans who are in the labor force. so as a whole, the figure continues to decline that's partly because of demographic reasons. but 20 to 24-year-olds, 70% for the first time. a trend across the board happening worldwide. and it would suggest that this goes beyond -- or that the damage in this particular recession could last for quite some time. >> certainly we're hoping to see better that i thinks to see people give more encourage chme but a lot of things have to be addressed quickly. what you are seeing is again i would go back to the fact that there are still a lot of job opportunities out there. people have to know where to find them. we pulled statistics from the national
it tells you a lot about the structural dynamic of employment here in the united states. and you're seeing still an increase in the number of people hiring for temporary work rather than full-time employment and a lot of the full-time jobs are in the lower paying wage range which really impacts consumer for down the road for stronger economic recoveries. >> another concern is the falling share of americans who are in the labor force. so as a whole, the figure continues to decline that's...
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Sep 12, 2012
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both by the libyan authorities an by the united states government. if there's a large crackdown in the country on potential trouble makers, then that could backfire and we could see this evolve into further violence. but if that doesn't happen, then i don't foresee an impact on oil. >> thank you very much for joining us today. >>> u.s. energy policy is a major issue in the presidential race. with both campaigns painting wildly different pictures of the situation. our senior correspondent scott cohn is here to try to separate the fact from fiction in our weekly fact checking report. what have you found? >> well, guess what? there's spin on both sides. let's start with the president last week in charlotte. >> in the last year alone, we cut oil imports by 1 million barrels a day. more than any administration in recent history. and today the united states of america is less dependent on foreign oil than at any time in the last two decades. >> well, it is true that the u.s. now imports only 45% of its petroleum, the lowest since the '90s, according to the
both by the libyan authorities an by the united states government. if there's a large crackdown in the country on potential trouble makers, then that could backfire and we could see this evolve into further violence. but if that doesn't happen, then i don't foresee an impact on oil. >> thank you very much for joining us today. >>> u.s. energy policy is a major issue in the presidential race. with both campaigns painting wildly different pictures of the situation. our senior...
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Sep 11, 2012
09/12
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concerns about a wlum bettering united states economy and who know what is will happen in europe and you can understand why there's several hot spots of concern. one of the leading industrials was the head of nissan worried about china and to a certain extent, but not so much for economic reasons, but because of sovereignty claims between japan and the prc. >> it's a worrying situation. anything which is taking place between two countries which have everything to complement each other and to work together, everything that could become a threat into distorting the relationship is worrying obviously for a major economy. i still think that hopefully wisdom will try to resolve the issues, but you never know. >> and setting asided china, what about the u.s. economy. people there tonight have enough household savings. how could they possibly support a company like nissan. surprisingly, he says america not a problem. it's the other side of the atlantic. >> our worry is not the u.s. market. u.s. market is going fine. today our worry of most companies in europe, this is where most trouble are
concerns about a wlum bettering united states economy and who know what is will happen in europe and you can understand why there's several hot spots of concern. one of the leading industrials was the head of nissan worried about china and to a certain extent, but not so much for economic reasons, but because of sovereignty claims between japan and the prc. >> it's a worrying situation. anything which is taking place between two countries which have everything to complement each other and...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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you can't get it from the united states government. they'll pay you nothing. people are going say, wait a minute, now i have to pay 36% and i have risk in the marketplace. these are a lot of big issues. >> i know you meant governor romney. >> let me apologize. >> do you think we go to the election and are in standstill mode until then? once we get the clarity of who's in the white house, what's your expectation? >> i do. i don't anticipate a lot. i know people are talking about that we'll see more in the early parts of november because of the different things with the defense department and where they're going to be at as far as cuts go. we'll get an indication what's going to happen. i think we'll have to wait until the election is over and done with and we'll get clarity for the future of the markets. >> i really like the fact you're looking at this whole dividend issue. we've been talking about the fiscal cliff a lot on this program. do you really think these guys are going to allow dif vidend taxes to go to 43%? >> they think hthis is a bunch f wealthy peo
you can't get it from the united states government. they'll pay you nothing. people are going say, wait a minute, now i have to pay 36% and i have risk in the marketplace. these are a lot of big issues. >> i know you meant governor romney. >> let me apologize. >> do you think we go to the election and are in standstill mode until then? once we get the clarity of who's in the white house, what's your expectation? >> i do. i don't anticipate a lot. i know people are...
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Sep 12, 2012
09/12
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i don't think anybody's ever heard of zug in the united states. hans marti, who heads zug's economic development office, showed off the nearby snow-covered mountains. but zug's main selling point isn't a view of the alps. how low are the taxes here? >> it's something between 15% and 16%. >> and in the united states, it's 35%. >> i know. it's half, half price. >> and do you have the lowest tax rate in switzerland? >> most probably, yes. >> most probably, yes. so you're kind of a tax haven within a tax haven. >> [laughs] maybe, yes. >> yeah, yeah, yeah. >> the population of the town of zug is 26,000. the number of companies in the area: 30,000 and growing. but many are no more than mailboxes. texas democratic congressman lloyd doggett questions whether the moves of several companies are legit. >> a good example is one of my texas companies that's been in the news lately, transocean. >> transocean owned the drilling rig involved in the giant bp oil spill. they moved to zug. >> i'm not sure they even moved that much. they have about 1,300 employees st
i don't think anybody's ever heard of zug in the united states. hans marti, who heads zug's economic development office, showed off the nearby snow-covered mountains. but zug's main selling point isn't a view of the alps. how low are the taxes here? >> it's something between 15% and 16%. >> and in the united states, it's 35%. >> i know. it's half, half price. >> and do you have the lowest tax rate in switzerland? >> most probably, yes. >> most probably, yes....
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Sep 24, 2012
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obviously helped from sales in the united states and china. and then you have the latins, french and italians facing substantial issues of sales and excess capacity. fiat closed a factory in siscil, but that was done at financial costs. >> as an investor, all the political pressure to stay in italy comes potentially at what might be in the company's best interests longer term. >> i think will is really the issue. i think one of the quid pro quo for closing the plant in sicily was to actually at least bring more production back into italy from poland and this is the new one they started producing at the beginning of the year and they already announced short time working so it's still not selling. >> is that reflective of concerns in europe or does it scare with what we heard out of daimler which was talk about slowing europe and china sales trends. >> daimler and mercedes specifically highlighted problems in southern europe. that plays into fiat's main market. >> and meanwhile journalist who had the story we're talking about fiat now plans to r
obviously helped from sales in the united states and china. and then you have the latins, french and italians facing substantial issues of sales and excess capacity. fiat closed a factory in siscil, but that was done at financial costs. >> as an investor, all the political pressure to stay in italy comes potentially at what might be in the company's best interests longer term. >> i think will is really the issue. i think one of the quid pro quo for closing the plant in sicily was to...
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Sep 26, 2012
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and you have the ambassador of the united nations for the united states coming on and misleading the public. basically we have sent a letter to ambassador rice to explain herself. >> you know, there's a story out today, i didn't know if you saw it, senator, but the story essentially was that the united states government within 24 hours knew it was a pre-planned terrorist attack. your thought on that. because that indicts rice and whomever else was in this cover-up even more. >> that's right. ambassador rice came on the sunday morning programs and said that, in fact, it was a spontaneous reaction of course to the video. and in no way was an expression of hostility toward america. and you have to say killing four american heroes, quite honestly, attacking our consulate, if that's not hostility toward america, i don't know what it is. so, no, i think it's pretty apparent that the administration must have known, had information, and ambassador rice was sent out on the sunday programs to mislead the american public. i find that outrageous, and i think she needs to explain herself and expl
and you have the ambassador of the united nations for the united states coming on and misleading the public. basically we have sent a letter to ambassador rice to explain herself. >> you know, there's a story out today, i didn't know if you saw it, senator, but the story essentially was that the united states government within 24 hours knew it was a pre-planned terrorist attack. your thought on that. because that indicts rice and whomever else was in this cover-up even more. >>...
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Sep 10, 2012
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we're obviously throughout the united states. we're in many foreign countries. we're in latin america, we're in london, turkey, we're in china, we're in singapore, japan and other countries as we speak. and then our investment side, we're all over. we're invested in china, in the united states, obviously. some in latin america. anyplace we see an opportunity. >> finally, hank, no doubt you saw or heard about my interview with eliot spitzer, which at the end of the day, ended up to be a lot about you. what's your take? did you get feedback on that? >> yeah. you won. i mean, his waving around a document that happened to be nothing to do with what we're talking about, because what he was waving around, i'm told, was a termination by the federal court. but there was an appeal that overturned that. he didn't tell you about the appeal. >> right. hank, good to have you on the program. >> good to be with you. >> thank you for weighing in on the developments at aig, hank greenberg. over to you. >> we'll head toward the break here. markets still trading a little lower. he
we're obviously throughout the united states. we're in many foreign countries. we're in latin america, we're in london, turkey, we're in china, we're in singapore, japan and other countries as we speak. and then our investment side, we're all over. we're invested in china, in the united states, obviously. some in latin america. anyplace we see an opportunity. >> finally, hank, no doubt you saw or heard about my interview with eliot spitzer, which at the end of the day, ended up to be a...
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Sep 5, 2012
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to see good retail in the united states. i see good housing in the united states. how many times did phil lebeau come on and say every single auto maker 14.5 million autos? i mean that's booming. union pacific, things are great. so you just get a picture that says, wait. need to go back to the u.s. again. >> three months of contracting isms. that's a problem. deutsche bank is out this morning saying if you correlate ism to the s&p you would either need a 10% correction in the market or ism back to 54 to justify the current level. >> well, if it's either/or -- the former certainly makes more sense. >> we keep it going. we're reflecting china and europe in the lack of growth in our economy or are they really going to bring us down? >> they reflected china in the chinese stock market which is really hideous. you want to see a real bear market, by the way, versus these european markets. we can say all the negative things you want but you made more money in germany this year so far than in the united states. something isn't it? >
to see good retail in the united states. i see good housing in the united states. how many times did phil lebeau come on and say every single auto maker 14.5 million autos? i mean that's booming. union pacific, things are great. so you just get a picture that says, wait. need to go back to the u.s. again. >> three months of contracting isms. that's a problem. deutsche bank is out this morning saying if you correlate ism to the s&p you would either need a 10% correction in the market...
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Sep 30, 2012
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in government employee unions you are looking at a small amount of people when you look at the total united states but the amount of power and the amount of influence that they project into politics is just astounding and they do it all from behind closed doors. we go into that in great detail and "shadowbosses" where we have the information from the freedom of information act about the secret meetings that went on. the other thing about these union heads the most people don't realize is they are truly the 1%. unions talk about the 1% and about occupy wall street but these guys are making huge amounts of money. i mean huge amounts. afscme secretary-treasurer makes -- many employees make well over 200,000. it is just astounding. they are truly the 1%, spending hundreds of thousands of dollars on private planes, ready access to the white house, being invited to all the best events of the white house. i mean, these are not little guys that have worked their way up. these are truly the 1% that they talk to their members about. [inaudible] >> the boilermakers union which is her, if they just use
in government employee unions you are looking at a small amount of people when you look at the total united states but the amount of power and the amount of influence that they project into politics is just astounding and they do it all from behind closed doors. we go into that in great detail and "shadowbosses" where we have the information from the freedom of information act about the secret meetings that went on. the other thing about these union heads the most people don't realize...
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Sep 27, 2012
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. >> what about the balance that we're facing here in the united states? we've got similar issues, don't we? we have an e more nor we? we have an e more nomous debt l and the debate on what to cut. >> there's always a question of priorities and where you focus your attention. i think the president has made a major effort to reduce the budget deficit and also to invest in the future of the country, just like a corporation in many senses that has too much debt, that it has to put its debt in line with its ability to raise revenues. it also has to invest in its future. the president, i think, is investing in education, infrastructure, many things that will make the country stronger. that's really the goal. it's to have a sound budget policy but also invest in the country's future. i think that's what the president's trying to do. >> but bob, we haven't had a budget in three years. >> well, a lot of programs that he's proposed have not gotten through the congress. that's a big challenge. he's focused on education. he has a very significant proposal on infrastr
. >> what about the balance that we're facing here in the united states? we've got similar issues, don't we? we have an e more nor we? we have an e more nomous debt l and the debate on what to cut. >> there's always a question of priorities and where you focus your attention. i think the president has made a major effort to reduce the budget deficit and also to invest in the future of the country, just like a corporation in many senses that has too much debt, that it has to put its...
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Sep 7, 2012
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and that is why i'm running for a second term as president of the united states. >> how the campaign will sell a job creation plan now and appeal to swing voters. the second hour of "squawk box" starts right now. ♪ well i won't back down no i won't back down ♪ ♪ you can stand me up at the gates of hell but i won't back down ♪ >> good morning everybody and welcome back to "squawk box" on cnbc. i'm becky quick with andrew ross sorkin and joe kernan. we've been watching the futures, a big day ahead of the jobs report. the futures are indicated higher the dow futures up by 29 points, s&p futures slightly higher as well. everything is resting on what we hear just 90 minutes from now when we get the government's august jobs report. consensus forecast calling for 125,000 new nonfarm payroll jobs. the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 8.3% after what we heard from abc yesterday there are some people who are expecting a slightly higher number than even the 125. shares of pandora could take a hit today. "the wall street journal" reports that apple is considering its own
and that is why i'm running for a second term as president of the united states. >> how the campaign will sell a job creation plan now and appeal to swing voters. the second hour of "squawk box" starts right now. ♪ well i won't back down no i won't back down ♪ ♪ you can stand me up at the gates of hell but i won't back down ♪ >> good morning everybody and welcome back to "squawk box" on cnbc. i'm becky quick with andrew ross sorkin and joe kernan. we've...
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Sep 6, 2012
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states. what happens if the job's number is a solid number tomorrow, do we continue to see rates rise here in the u.s.? >> a lot of the move has been not necessarily on the back of the ecb been on fed expectations. you can price out some of that qe expectation priced into the markets and you will gate softer message from the fed extending zero interest rate policy into 2015. i think it's more focused on the fed and less on the ecb today. >> now that we know that the ecb says they be in there, we presume, do you buy it? if you're looking for yield, holy smokes. >> i think until we see spain and other countries commit to being engaged in this program, you will see volatility. the yield vs. come down 150 or 250 points. and you would expect to see that roll down. they would roll into that three year maturity. in terms of thinking about waying to get 5% and 6% yields, i think there are better ways to get it. >> keith springer, as randy said, he is wondering when the little guy will want to get bac
states. what happens if the job's number is a solid number tomorrow, do we continue to see rates rise here in the u.s.? >> a lot of the move has been not necessarily on the back of the ecb been on fed expectations. you can price out some of that qe expectation priced into the markets and you will gate softer message from the fed extending zero interest rate policy into 2015. i think it's more focused on the fed and less on the ecb today. >> now that we know that the ecb says they be...
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Sep 10, 2012
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. >>> the drenching that parts of the united states got last week, including tornadoes out in queens, not really helping parched farmland. there are no farms in queens, are there? this afternoon we're going to get exclusive details on the economic impact from our senior economics reporter steve leisman. he's here live. >> in about three minutes we're going to get an e-mail from the guy that runs the farm in queens. it is a big impact from what's a small sector of the economy and it could even have an impact on the presidential election. in a detailed study of the summer's drought which scored soybeans, corn and other crops across the nation, macro economic advisors out of st. louis estimate it could shave as much as a half point off gross domestic product this year. that's a big hit to a $13 trillion economy from a total farm sector that accounts for just -- wait for it now -- 1% of the nation's output. ben herzon is the economist who did the study. pe explai he explains the drought's outside impact. >> even though it only accounts for 1% of the economy, big changes in farm output can
. >>> the drenching that parts of the united states got last week, including tornadoes out in queens, not really helping parched farmland. there are no farms in queens, are there? this afternoon we're going to get exclusive details on the economic impact from our senior economics reporter steve leisman. he's here live. >> in about three minutes we're going to get an e-mail from the guy that runs the farm in queens. it is a big impact from what's a small sector of the economy and...
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Sep 7, 2012
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for president of the united states. democratic party. in charlotte, north carolina. can be described, perhaps, as a more subdued speech than the one that he gave at his initial convention four years ago. still touching on topics that are very popular. among his base. you had the tax issue, you had the issues of education. there were references to the automobile bailout. but still, john harwood who's with us, and larry kudlow still with us, and we have more guests coming in in a moment. there were parts that were surprising at times. opening up more land for natural gas drilling. we talk about tax reform. we talk about defense and strong on foreign policy. larry kudlow, did you feel this was a more centrist speech than you expected? >> no, not particularly. i mean, he said he was looking at the principles of bowles/simpson and simpson/bowles that those principles included pro growth tax reform across the board, getting rid of the deduction. he opposes that. he wants to raise taxes on the well to do. he demagogued on the
for president of the united states. democratic party. in charlotte, north carolina. can be described, perhaps, as a more subdued speech than the one that he gave at his initial convention four years ago. still touching on topics that are very popular. among his base. you had the tax issue, you had the issues of education. there were references to the automobile bailout. but still, john harwood who's with us, and larry kudlow still with us, and we have more guests coming in in a moment. there...
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Sep 14, 2012
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we need that here in the united states, too. we have to get our mojo back. >> we have to leave it there. congratulations. we wish you lots of luck. >> watch the space, entrepreneurs in greece. >> well. joe. >>> coming up, bart chilton has september a letter to ben bernanke, and we'll see the note even before he does. >>> best and worst cities for travel taxes revealed. here's today's road warrior report. business travelers visiting the windy city will be hit by a storm of taxes. that's according to a brand new study released by the global business travel association. they claim chicago hits u.s. travelers the hardest when you combine sales and travel taxes to the tune of more than $40 per day. on average that's 81% higher than ft. lauderdale, florida, has has the lowest tax burden of just over $22 per day. the chicago convention and tourism bureau didn't respond to our request for comment. see the full list of the best and worst cities for travel taxes at road warrior.cnbc.com up. a short word that's a tall order. up your game.
we need that here in the united states, too. we have to get our mojo back. >> we have to leave it there. congratulations. we wish you lots of luck. >> watch the space, entrepreneurs in greece. >> well. joe. >>> coming up, bart chilton has september a letter to ben bernanke, and we'll see the note even before he does. >>> best and worst cities for travel taxes revealed. here's today's road warrior report. business travelers visiting the windy city will be hit...
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Sep 18, 2012
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now, having said that the expansion of the united states is very slow. we are down to 1 1/2 to 2% of gdp expansion. that is, like phil and i talked many time, the lowest, slowest expansion we have ever had following a deep recession. clearly, one of the worst recessions we have ever been in. we are very pleased that we are recovering in the automobile industry and in ford's care the pent-up demand is incredible. the average age, phil, is like 11 years old now. these new vehicles you can get from ford, you can economically replace your older vehicle. so we are so just gratified that we invested during the toughest time and we have the products now to help lead this economic recovery but it is a slower recovery than we have had in the past, for sure. >> so what did you say? i don't mean to beat this into the ground, yes or no? is america in better shape now than it was four years ago? >> clearly not in the deep recession that we were and we are starting to recover. so, this is a very positive thing. the thing i like about the debate is what can we do to in
now, having said that the expansion of the united states is very slow. we are down to 1 1/2 to 2% of gdp expansion. that is, like phil and i talked many time, the lowest, slowest expansion we have ever had following a deep recession. clearly, one of the worst recessions we have ever been in. we are very pleased that we are recovering in the automobile industry and in ford's care the pent-up demand is incredible. the average age, phil, is like 11 years old now. these new vehicles you can get...
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Sep 4, 2012
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china, europe, and the united states. look, we know that china used to be one of the world's great growth engines. it almost single handedly kept the global economy afloat during the global recession. but after playing the roe of the world's economic engine for so long, the chinese locomotive seems to be in danger of running off the rails. each piece of data is weaker than the last. so what's good about that? well, the slowdown in china seems somewhat self-inflicted. governments hit the brakes and in many ways still seems like it's happening. the hope is the chinese will start cutting rates, adding real octane to the down shift in their economy. how about europe? the european central bank meeting this week and we're expecting to hear some chatter in unison that's going to ereverse the declining economies over there and maybe unite to save the spanish banking system. you can monitor these efforts by watching the largest spanish bank which has been climbing ever since it bottomed at $4 and change. $7 stock finishing up 0.18
china, europe, and the united states. look, we know that china used to be one of the world's great growth engines. it almost single handedly kept the global economy afloat during the global recession. but after playing the roe of the world's economic engine for so long, the chinese locomotive seems to be in danger of running off the rails. each piece of data is weaker than the last. so what's good about that? well, the slowdown in china seems somewhat self-inflicted. governments hit the brakes...
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Sep 17, 2012
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we look at dodd-frank, we look at the regulatory framework in the united states. we look at the fed. one of the greatest threats to the u.s. and the capitalism really is academics and bureaucrats that really run our entire regulatory framework in the u.s. and they run the federal reserve. we need risk it takers. people that have actually taken risk to be in the regulatory framework. if you look at the crash of 2008, who is making all the decisions? it was hank paulson, someone from wall street. and we have a situation all these years later where if you look at the fdic, the futures trading commission, the regulatory infrastructure doesn't have approach risk takers. and that's a big threat. >> it sounds like you think the fed are taking risks. >> i've been behind the scenes taking to hedge fund managers. these are complete experimental drugs, they don't have an exit strategy. they want to make us feel good with academic contrived jargon, but this is a massive experiment. and what i'm worried about, think about in the united states we have a trillion dollars in pens
we look at dodd-frank, we look at the regulatory framework in the united states. we look at the fed. one of the greatest threats to the u.s. and the capitalism really is academics and bureaucrats that really run our entire regulatory framework in the u.s. and they run the federal reserve. we need risk it takers. people that have actually taken risk to be in the regulatory framework. if you look at the crash of 2008, who is making all the decisions? it was hank paulson, someone from wall street....
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Sep 6, 2012
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we're still the world's largest economy in the united states. i would imagine if in three to ten years the financial system were to collapse because of the overprinting of money, i would imagine we would have a lot to do with that as the biggest players in all of this. does that mean that you are pessimistic about the united states' ability to come to grips with its unfunded liabilities and entitlements? is that what's going to cause this, we're not going to fix these? >> i'm very concerned that regardless of who will be in the white house next year, the republicans or the democrats, the fiscal deficit will stay above a trillion dollars as far as the eye can see. and that more money printing is on the way, qe 3, qe 4, so on. but you understand i want to clarify one point, i am bearish about the financial system and i think eventually it will collapse, but if you think it through, what is better to own in a systemic crisis, cash with the banks, treasury bills, or real estate in the u.s., or equities? i think that real estate in the u.s., i'm not
we're still the world's largest economy in the united states. i would imagine if in three to ten years the financial system were to collapse because of the overprinting of money, i would imagine we would have a lot to do with that as the biggest players in all of this. does that mean that you are pessimistic about the united states' ability to come to grips with its unfunded liabilities and entitlements? is that what's going to cause this, we're not going to fix these? >> i'm very...
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Sep 4, 2012
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. >>> back in the united states, the new york attorney general is investigating whether private equity firms have abused tax strategy in order to cut hundreds of millions from their tax bills. eric schneiderman wants documents that reveal whether they converted certain fgt fees into investments which are taxed at a lower rate than ordinary xhk. economy. schneiderman is looking to see if he's trying to embarrass bain. andrew, right now, i'll send it over to you. >> fascinating story. hope we talk about that in a little bit. corporate headlines this morning. valiant pharmaceuticals is buying metacis for $24 a share. a 39% premium. the deal boosting valiant skin care offering and adds botox to it's portfolio. oracle is launching an appeal on five-year long court case against s.a.p. last month they agreed to pay oracle $306 million over copyright infringement allegations. great to be back. what do you think, a little right here in. >> i've never heard of disport? >> botox? >> you're not who i'm worried about. it's clear by saying you might need it, i know what you're actually saying. >> i,
. >>> back in the united states, the new york attorney general is investigating whether private equity firms have abused tax strategy in order to cut hundreds of millions from their tax bills. eric schneiderman wants documents that reveal whether they converted certain fgt fees into investments which are taxed at a lower rate than ordinary xhk. economy. schneiderman is looking to see if he's trying to embarrass bain. andrew, right now, i'll send it over to you. >> fascinating...
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Sep 20, 2012
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retail sales net revenue saving up to $4.5 billion in taxes on goods sold in the united states. we talked to microsoft. here's what they told us. they say, microsoft has a complex business and we must comply with the complicated tax code of the united states, resulting in an exceedingly complex tax structure. second company in the crosshairs here today is going to be hewlett-packa hewlett-packard. the senate committee saying since at least 2008, hp has used billions of dollars of intercompany offshore loans to effectively repatriate untaxed foreign profits back to the united states to run u.s. operations. that's contrary to the intent of u.s. tax policy. we talked to hewlett-packard. here's what they told us. they say, hp has complied fully with all applicable provisions of the u.s. internal revenue code and auditor ernst and young has audited. we'll learn more about what this is up committee found in about a half-hour. >>> the committee on banking, housing and urban affairs, subcommittee on securities, insurance and investment is holding a hearing on high-frequency trading and
retail sales net revenue saving up to $4.5 billion in taxes on goods sold in the united states. we talked to microsoft. here's what they told us. they say, microsoft has a complex business and we must comply with the complicated tax code of the united states, resulting in an exceedingly complex tax structure. second company in the crosshairs here today is going to be hewlett-packa hewlett-packard. the senate committee saying since at least 2008, hp has used billions of dollars of intercompany...
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Sep 7, 2012
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whatever is happening here in the united states today, it is risk on if you're in the banks. take a look at even the german banks. of course, who wants to concentrate on the bonds? look at this, deutsch bank up 6%. big bank across europe rallied strongly again today. there is no new news today but the confidence is shifting. it may not be sustained. they may sell off on monday. but, look, in italy, this bank here almost up 10%. you know these guys here exposed to sovereign debt. look at the way in which they have gained today. separate to that, of course, kate kelly was showing us that we have an improved offer for xtrata. importantly, from china, and i've spoke with the steel stocks. in china you have the announcement of $157 billion of infrastructure spending. look at how the other miners around the world, a lot of them in london, have also gained today. it's been a terrible performer, up 7%. a very important day today in europe. melissa, back to you. >> let's get a check on energy and commodities. sharon epperson at the nymex. sharon? >> it's an important day in the commod
whatever is happening here in the united states today, it is risk on if you're in the banks. take a look at even the german banks. of course, who wants to concentrate on the bonds? look at this, deutsch bank up 6%. big bank across europe rallied strongly again today. there is no new news today but the confidence is shifting. it may not be sustained. they may sell off on monday. but, look, in italy, this bank here almost up 10%. you know these guys here exposed to sovereign debt. look at the way...
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Sep 21, 2012
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one of the many topics we covered was the possibility of a significant downturn in the united states economy. >> so if you have a downturn, there's a possibility that you don't have that right mix and that you could have a downturn. the odds of that are comparatively low but i worry about it because it's significant possibility. i described it as though, imagine you're on an airplane that's flying from here to los angeles, you're probably going to get there okay but if you hit an air pocket and meaning if the economy goes down, there's not an easy way to reverse it. monetary policy is less effective because when you buy a bond, when the federal reserve makes a purchase, that has the effect of giving money to somebody who won't put that money into something like that bond. and that money does not easily go to people who spend it, that's a balance between monetary and fiscal policy and i worry about the policymakers getting that balance right. that's a possibility and a scary possibility. other than that, i think the most likely situation is we will fly successfully from here to los an
one of the many topics we covered was the possibility of a significant downturn in the united states economy. >> so if you have a downturn, there's a possibility that you don't have that right mix and that you could have a downturn. the odds of that are comparatively low but i worry about it because it's significant possibility. i described it as though, imagine you're on an airplane that's flying from here to los angeles, you're probably going to get there okay but if you hit an air...
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Sep 6, 2012
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we have had the four largest deficits in the history of the united states. four deficits in excess of a trillion dollars each so that more than a third of all the debt ever run up in the 236-year history of the united states, more than a third of it was under barack obama's presidency in the last three and a half years. who's going to pay off the debt? our children and a grandchildren. that's who is going to pay it off. that's where romney and paul ryan are calling for a growth agenda where we can start creating jobs in this country and not have economic growth of 1.7%, under 2% and a federal reserve board that believes we'll be in this shape for two years. that's why they say they will keep interest rates for another two years. >> you heard him talk about the debt created under president obama when the country was going off a fiscal cliff and the banks were seizing up. he never referenced the 5 trillion in debt generated under george bush while he was governor. he never referenced the two wars we didn't pay for. george bush was the first president in the hi
we have had the four largest deficits in the history of the united states. four deficits in excess of a trillion dollars each so that more than a third of all the debt ever run up in the 236-year history of the united states, more than a third of it was under barack obama's presidency in the last three and a half years. who's going to pay off the debt? our children and a grandchildren. that's who is going to pay it off. that's where romney and paul ryan are calling for a growth agenda where we...
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Sep 10, 2012
09/12
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you've got 30 producing states, producing oil and gas in the united states. that's the greatest number we've ever had. the 30 producing states can decide this election. and some of those are pennsylvania, ohio, colorado, new mexico, west virginia. all of those are key swing states. and it would surprise me if any of those states, when they realize that governor romney has a plan, governor romney, i think, will carry his plan out. and that is to advance alternative energy for transportation, which is natural gas. now, when you -- you know, 70% of all the oil used every day in the world goes to transportation fuel. wind and solar, great sources of energy, but have nothing to do with imported oil. so, president obama talks about wind and solar all the time. but what you've got to do is develop resources in this country. we have those resources. and you can get off opec oil. now, that is sensitive oil that comes into the united states. 4.5 million barrels a day. remember the straits of hormuz, persian gulf, 7 million barrels a day move out of the persian gulf. we
you've got 30 producing states, producing oil and gas in the united states. that's the greatest number we've ever had. the 30 producing states can decide this election. and some of those are pennsylvania, ohio, colorado, new mexico, west virginia. all of those are key swing states. and it would surprise me if any of those states, when they realize that governor romney has a plan, governor romney, i think, will carry his plan out. and that is to advance alternative energy for transportation,...
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Sep 6, 2012
09/12
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states, germany, france, united states, china, japan, they will all kick in and do what they have to do to kick the can down the road. i think that's what's happening. we're not solving the problem. we're dealing with it and kicking it down the road. the third area i think would make a big difference and not to get involved in politics about as difficult to talk about as abortion but i think a romney victory would put the market above the range where we are at presently and i am kind of thinking if i had to handicap it if a romney victory, let me just say that the significance of an event for the market is very much a function of where the market is when the event occurs. i say from the roughly 1400 area a romney victory would add 100 points to the s&p and an obama victory would probably be maybe a 50-point decline. i think it is very important. we're at a crucial point in economic history of the country and i think what happens in november is very important. >> tom lee of j.p. morgan was on one of the earlier programs this morning talk in the same measure on what a romney victory wo
states, germany, france, united states, china, japan, they will all kick in and do what they have to do to kick the can down the road. i think that's what's happening. we're not solving the problem. we're dealing with it and kicking it down the road. the third area i think would make a big difference and not to get involved in politics about as difficult to talk about as abortion but i think a romney victory would put the market above the range where we are at presently and i am kind of...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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david foon is part of the fastest growing jewish newspaper in the united states. gentlemen, how big of a factor is this tension between iran and israel factored into the price of oil? >> there's no question that today's run-up, marimaria, was direct reaction. we got a leak of some of the speech earlier before the market opened that, in fact, prime minister netanyahu was going to state what this red line was going to be all about. now we know. of course, it comes on the heels of ahmadinejad's speech yesterday. this got right back in the forefront of the traders and the markets' mind here. what it represents, of course, for oil is, you know, the mother of all supply risks here. the strait of hormuz comes into play. the whole region comes into play. obviously, it's almost a mild reaction given what we got here today. we're clearly on a path to something, some confully grags. i do say given that netanyahu says they won't get to that final stage until next summer, we have some time. >> david, what did you think of the red line speech? netanyahu has pressed for this bef
david foon is part of the fastest growing jewish newspaper in the united states. gentlemen, how big of a factor is this tension between iran and israel factored into the price of oil? >> there's no question that today's run-up, marimaria, was direct reaction. we got a leak of some of the speech earlier before the market opened that, in fact, prime minister netanyahu was going to state what this red line was going to be all about. now we know. of course, it comes on the heels of...
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Sep 6, 2012
09/12
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not just here in the united states but also over in europe where we did see more than 2% gains across the board. dr. jay, what did you see in terms of the options market? >> there certainly was that. there were people trying to add alpha chasing the market here because they're behind the curve. clearly a lot of turnover in the leverage dtfs. i was looking at, for instance, the faz or the sso. i mean, all of these, whether it's a double, triple bear, double, triple bull, whichever it is, options on those before trading about seven times normal volumes today. most after this is people chasing either people that are mind and short, trying to catch up, or people that are basically flat and looking to get into the market. that's the main reason that they would trade either of those. i'd remind them to be careful about what warren buffett says. you combine ignorance with leverage, you get some pretty interesting results. that's exactly what we got today. >> right. we did see a broad-based rally. take a look at this list of s&p 500 gainers. pretty much from every sector. in the last hour, ea
not just here in the united states but also over in europe where we did see more than 2% gains across the board. dr. jay, what did you see in terms of the options market? >> there certainly was that. there were people trying to add alpha chasing the market here because they're behind the curve. clearly a lot of turnover in the leverage dtfs. i was looking at, for instance, the faz or the sso. i mean, all of these, whether it's a double, triple bear, double, triple bull, whichever it is,...
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Sep 21, 2012
09/12
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states and overestimating the risks within the united states. >> he's talking about the stock market rising possibly 40% over the next two years. is he right? >> god bless him. i hope he's right. i'm quite bullish. i'm not sure i'm quite that bullish, but i hope he's right. i think if that's going on happen, the profit cycle must begin to turn off. you kneed the s&p 500 profit cycle to turn up. i think if that happens in conjunction with lower interest rates, then, yeah, i think you could about the build up. if you had that confluence of events, yeah, you could melt up. >> there also is a possibility, rich, that profit cycle does slow down, but they take all that cash and they buy back 8 billion in stock like nike or they boost the dividend like cisco. >> exactly. or they start buying smaller and midcap companies that kooem keep growing. they're eventually going to have to buy growth. it's my opinion they're going to go down to midcap and smaller cap companies to buy that growth over the next couple of years. >> good stuff. have a great weekend. >> thank you. see you later, guys. >>>
states and overestimating the risks within the united states. >> he's talking about the stock market rising possibly 40% over the next two years. is he right? >> god bless him. i hope he's right. i'm quite bullish. i'm not sure i'm quite that bullish, but i hope he's right. i think if that's going on happen, the profit cycle must begin to turn off. you kneed the s&p 500 profit cycle to turn up. i think if that happens in conjunction with lower interest rates, then, yeah, i think...
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Sep 5, 2012
09/12
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as far as what's on the agenda in the united states, second quarter productivity out at 8:30 eastern. forecasts calling for 1.9% growth. unit labor costs have seen rising by 1.4%. corporate side, discount retailer dollar general reports figures before the open. after the close we'll hear from the likes of h&r block, harry winston and menswear house. that's the agenda for you today. >>> meanwhile, a leaked report from troika suggests imposing a six-day work week on greece as a condition of bail outs. we want to know, is that fair or is the troika going too far? jeff tweets in to say, no, six-day work week is not fair. don't punish workers for government's mismanagement and stupid. join the conversation here on "worldwide exchange." get in touch by e-mail or tweet us @cnbcwex or individually. ross? >> do that and still to come, david cameron is under spotlight as he faces questions in parliament following yesterday's cabinet reshuffle. > >>> welcome back to the program. these are your headlines. fedex cutting forecasts. >>> u.s. services pmi shows a slump on the eve of a key ecb meeting
as far as what's on the agenda in the united states, second quarter productivity out at 8:30 eastern. forecasts calling for 1.9% growth. unit labor costs have seen rising by 1.4%. corporate side, discount retailer dollar general reports figures before the open. after the close we'll hear from the likes of h&r block, harry winston and menswear house. that's the agenda for you today. >>> meanwhile, a leaked report from troika suggests imposing a six-day work week on greece as a...
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Sep 14, 2012
09/12
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in the united states it has a dual mandate. price stability and full employment. and it's done neither. and so i'm glad they're finally tying those actions together. >> marc, fair point. what would you do as a policy maker? >> well, first of all, if i were mr. bernanke, for sure i would resign after having messed up the u.s. as badly as mr. greenspan and mr. bernanke have done over the last 15 years. and mr. bernanke before he was fed chairman, he was one of the principal architects of ultra expansionary monetary policies, never paying any attention to credit growths that led to the housing bubble. and if i had messed up this badly, i would for sure resign. but secondly, if you you really want to have an expansionary mop taker po monetary policy that helps the man on the street, should you do what sheila bair proposed, namely send each household a check for $5 million interest rate free. i would go as far as to say send them each $10 million free as a gift and put it on the balance sheet of the treasury and the fed and that would boost consumption temporary. don't
in the united states it has a dual mandate. price stability and full employment. and it's done neither. and so i'm glad they're finally tying those actions together. >> marc, fair point. what would you do as a policy maker? >> well, first of all, if i were mr. bernanke, for sure i would resign after having messed up the u.s. as badly as mr. greenspan and mr. bernanke have done over the last 15 years. and mr. bernanke before he was fed chairman, he was one of the principal architects...